Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Iran Outflanks Israel

Today's reading assignment, from Ralph Peters in The New York Post.

As Colonel Peters observes, Hizballah, Iran and Syria are attaining their goals in Lebanon for a simple reason: no one in Israel or the west will do anything about it.

When will we face reality? Hezbollah can't be appeased. Hezbollah can't be integrated into a democratic government and domesticated. And Hezbollah, whose cadres believe that death is a promotion, can't be deterred by wagging fingers and flyovers.

Hezbollah, our mortal enemy, must be destroyed. But we - Israel, the United States, Europe - lack the will. And will is one thing Hezbollah and its backers in Iran and Syria don't lack: They'll kill anyone and destroy anything to win.
We won't. We still think we can talk our way out of a hit job. Not only are we reluctant to kill those bent on killing us - we don't even want to offend them.

Hezbollah's shocking defeat of Israel in 2006 (when will Western leaders learn that you can't measure out war in teaspoons?) highlighted the key military question of our time: How can humane, law-abiding states defeat merciless postnational organizations that obey only the "laws" of bloodthirsty gods?

The answer, as Iraq and Afghanistan should have taught us, is that you have to gut the organization and kill the hardcore cadres. (Exactly how many al Qaeda members have we converted to secular humanism?).

Entranced by the military vogue of the season, we don't even get our terminology right. Defeating Hezbollah has nothing to do with counterinsurgency warfare - the situation's gone far beyond that. We're facing a new form of "non-state state" built around a fanatical killing machine that rejects all of our constraints.

Meanwhile, Israel is preoccupied with the Olmert scandal and the situation in Gaza. As for the U.S., we're still promoting some sort of peace deal that will, ultimately, strengthen the terrorists.

We will pay a heavy price for our inattention and inactivity.

1 comment:

M. Simon said...

Michael Totten has a different take.

He says the hezzies lost their bid for control in the Chouf Mountains against the Druze.

Lebanon's Future.