How Iran might respond to an attack on its nuclear facilities, from Eli Lake of the New York Sun. Among the scenarios he lists are attacks against U.S. naval forces in the Persian Gulf, strikes targeting Saudi oil installions, and Hizballah operations against "soft" facilities in the Middle East and western Europe.
All are possible.
Eli Lake forgets the most obvious response. Iran will close the Straits of Hormuz.
ReplyDeleteMines are easily deliverable, either by air or small boats. Most common mines today are simply "dumb bombs" with mine fuzing. This is what we used in Vietmnam in the late stages. It was effective.
Floating mines (untethered) are another option and were used by Saddam in the First Gulf War.
Would this be a two edged sword for Iran? Yes, they would cut off most of their own exports, but the idea would be to disrupt the world's oil supply.
Suicidal? Yes. But when have Islamists rejected suicide?