tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10820485.post8966767465377775550..comments2023-11-03T09:36:22.100-04:00Comments on In From the Cold: Iran's Latest Air Defense ExerciseGeorge Smileyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07049707648660651119noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10820485.post-37370724193090951912008-10-21T11:48:00.000-04:002008-10-21T11:48:00.000-04:00Insightful, informed analysis - thanks. While the ...Insightful, informed analysis - thanks. While the Iranian air force represents no threat to Israel, its shortcomings make it all the more probable that Iran will choose to launch missiles at Israel. How would you rate the following scenario, percentage-wise?<BR/><BR/>Ahmadinejad finally starts to crack under internal pressure for reform, while retaining Khamenei's support and tacit encouragement for the nuclear program. A. launches a missile attack unilaterally, accompanied by a hoax warning of Israeli attack, in order to bring the masses back under the tent with a patriotic call to arms. When Israel does respond, they're attacking depleted launch sites and only the tunnel entrance to the nuclear sites, returning to a decimated nation.Waynehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03258051762181970937noreply@blogger.com